2001 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Miami

67.3%Win probability67.3%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginMiami by 7.6Model error range: ±17.0 points

Florida

32.7%Win probability32.7%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 652 current-season games with 1,906 games from 2000, 1999, 1998. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 39% for home-field advantage, and 57% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.