1985 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Michigan

63.4%Win probability63.4%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginMichigan by 5.3Model error range: ±15.5 points

Oklahoma

36.6%Win probability36.6%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 563 current-season games with 1,642 games from 1984, 1983, 1982. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 36% for home-field advantage, and 53% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.