1980 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Florida State

56.2%Win probability56.2%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginFlorida State by 2.6Model error range: ±16.5 points

Nebraska

43.8%Win probability43.8%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 722 current-season games with 2,157 games from 1979, 1978, 1977. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 42% for home-field advantage, and 59% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.