1970 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Nebraska

62.3%Win probability62.3%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginNebraska by 5.4Model error range: ±17.1 points

Texas

37.7%Win probability37.7%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 602 current-season games with 1,649 games from 1969, 1968, 1967. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 38% for home-field advantage, and 55% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.