2003 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

LSU

55.3%Win probability55.3%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginLSU by 2.3Model error range: ±17.2 points

Oklahoma

44.7%Win probability44.7%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 699 current-season games with 2,005 games from 2002, 2001, 2000. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 41% for home-field advantage, and 58% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.