2002 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Ohio State

53.6%Win probability53.6%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginOhio State by 1.5Model error range: ±17.0 points

USC

46.4%Win probability46.4%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 707 current-season games with 1,931 games from 2001, 2000, 1999. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 41% for home-field advantage, and 59% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.