2000 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Oklahoma

57.9%Win probability57.9%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginOklahoma by 3.3Model error range: ±16.7 points

Florida State

42.1%Win probability42.1%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 646 current-season games with 1,888 games from 1999, 1998, 1997. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 39% for home-field advantage, and 56% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.