1997 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Nebraska

62.4%Win probability62.4%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginNebraska by 5.4Model error range: ±17.0 points

Florida

37.6%Win probability37.6%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 628 current-season games with 1,804 games from 1996, 1995, 1994. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 39% for home-field advantage, and 56% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.