1996 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Florida

68.3%Win probability68.3%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginFlorida by 8.1Model error range: ±17.0 points

Nebraska

31.7%Win probability31.7%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 614 current-season games with 1,775 games from 1995, 1994, 1993. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 38% for home-field advantage, and 55% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.