1995 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Nebraska

75.4%Win probability75.4%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginNebraska by 11.3Model error range: ±16.5 points

Florida

24.6%Win probability24.6%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 597 current-season games with 1,766 games from 1994, 1993, 1992. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 37% for home-field advantage, and 54% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.