1993 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Florida State

72.0%Win probability72.0%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginFlorida State by 9.7Model error range: ±16.6 points

Florida

28.0%Win probability28.0%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 585 current-season games with 1,753 games from 1992, 1991, 1990. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 37% for home-field advantage, and 54% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.