1992 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Florida State

51.2%Win probability51.2%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginFlorida State by 0.5Model error range: ±16.0 points

Alabama

48.8%Win probability48.8%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 588 current-season games with 1,747 games from 1991, 1990, 1989. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 37% for home-field advantage, and 54% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.