1991 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Washington

57.7%Win probability57.7%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginWashington by 3.2Model error range: ±16.5 points

Miami

42.3%Win probability42.3%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 586 current-season games with 1,717 games from 1990, 1989, 1988. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 37% for home-field advantage, and 54% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.