1989 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Notre Dame

53.9%Win probability53.9%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginNotre Dame by 1.6Model error range: ±16.0 points

Florida State

46.1%Win probability46.1%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 582 current-season games with 1,677 games from 1988, 1987, 1986. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 37% for home-field advantage, and 54% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.