1975 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Oklahoma

55.5%Win probability55.5%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginOklahoma by 2.2Model error range: ±16.1 points

Alabama

44.5%Win probability44.5%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 680 current-season games with 1,947 games from 1974, 1973, 1972. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 40% for home-field advantage, and 58% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.