1968 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Ohio State

50.6%Win probability50.6%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginOhio State by 0.2Model error range: ±15.8 points

Penn State

49.4%Win probability49.4%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 544 current-season games with 1,631 games from 1967, 1966, 1965. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 35% for home-field advantage, and 52% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.