1966 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Notre Dame

72.3%Win probability72.3%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginNotre Dame by 8.7Model error range: ±14.7 points

Michigan State

27.7%Win probability27.7%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 548 current-season games with 1,623 games from 1965, 1964, 1963. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 35% for home-field advantage, and 52% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.