1962 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Alabama

52.7%Win probability52.7%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginAlabama by 1.0Model error range: ±14.9 points

USC

47.3%Win probability47.3%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 551 current-season games with 1,586 games from 1961, 1960, 1959. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 36% for home-field advantage, and 52% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.