1961 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Alabama

67.1%Win probability67.1%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginAlabama by 6.9Model error range: ±15.6 points

LSU

32.9%Win probability32.9%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 528 current-season games with 1,572 games from 1960, 1959, 1958. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 35% for home-field advantage, and 51% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.