1959 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Syracuse

61.1%Win probability61.1%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginSyracuse by 4.4Model error range: ±15.7 points

Ole Miss

38.9%Win probability38.9%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 526 current-season games with 1,525 games from 1958, 1957, 1956. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 34% for home-field advantage, and 51% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.