1958 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

LSU

55.8%Win probability55.8%Cover probability (0.0)
Expected marginLSU by 2.3Model error range: ±15.8 points

Oklahoma

44.2%Win probability44.2%Cover probability (0.0)
How it works This FBS-specific model blends 514 current-season games with 1,500 games from 1957, 1956, 1955. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 34% for home-field advantage, and 51% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.