1955 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Oklahoma

60.8%Win probability60.8%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginOklahoma by 4.4Model error range: ±16.1 points

Michigan State

39.2%Win probability39.2%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 489 current-season games with 1,490 games from 1954, 1953, 1952. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 33% for home-field advantage, and 49% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.