1949 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Notre Dame

54.8%Win probability54.8%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginNotre Dame by 2.0Model error range: ±16.8 points

Oklahoma

45.2%Win probability45.2%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 508 current-season games with 1,539 games from 1948, 1947, 1946. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 34% for home-field advantage, and 50% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.