1948 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

North Carolina

50.5%Win probability50.5%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginNorth Carolina by 0.2Model error range: ±16.3 points

Michigan

49.5%Win probability49.5%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 510 current-season games with 1,376 games from 1947, 1946, 1945. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 34% for home-field advantage, and 50% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.