1947 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Michigan

50.7%Win probability50.7%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginMichigan by 0.3Model error range: ±16.6 points

Texas

49.3%Win probability49.3%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 521 current-season games with 1,159 games from 1946, 1945, 1944. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 34% for home-field advantage, and 51% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.