1946 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Army

60.9%Win probability60.9%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginArmy by 4.7Model error range: ±16.9 points

Notre Dame

39.1%Win probability39.1%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 508 current-season games with 905 games from 1945, 1944, 1943. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 34% for home-field advantage, and 50% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.