Modern Statistical Era. World War II season; schedules, rosters, and participation were affected by wartime conditions.

1945 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Army

76.1%Win probability76.1%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginArmy by 12.2Model error range: ±17.2 points

Navy

23.9%Win probability23.9%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 347 current-season games with 990 games from 1944, 1943, 1942. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 26% for home-field advantage, and 41% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.