Modern Statistical Era. World War II season; schedules, rosters, and participation were affected by wartime conditions.

1942 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Georgia

58.6%Win probability58.6%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginGeorgia by 3.4Model error range: ±15.5 points

Wisconsin

41.4%Win probability41.4%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 432 current-season games with 1,306 games from 1941, 1940, 1939. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 30% for home-field advantage, and 46% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.