1941 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Texas

64.6%Win probability64.6%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginTexas by 5.4Model error range: ±14.3 points

Notre Dame

35.4%Win probability35.4%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 399 current-season games with 1,334 games from 1940, 1939, 1938. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 29% for home-field advantage, and 44% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.