1939 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Texas A&M

53.3%Win probability53.3%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginTexas A&M by 1.1Model error range: ±13.4 points

Cornell

46.7%Win probability46.7%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 454 current-season games with 1,320 games from 1938, 1937, 1936. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 31% for home-field advantage, and 48% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.