1937 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

California

51.7%Win probability51.7%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginCalifornia by 0.6Model error range: ±13.6 points

Pittsburgh

48.3%Win probability48.3%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 424 current-season games with 1,364 games from 1936, 1935, 1934. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 30% for home-field advantage, and 46% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.