Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1936 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Alabama

53.7%Win probability53.7%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginAlabama by 1.3Model error range: ±14.0 points

Pittsburgh

46.3%Win probability46.3%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 469 current-season games with 1,333 games from 1935, 1934, 1933. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 32% for home-field advantage, and 48% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.