Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1935 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

SMU

55.0%Win probability55.0%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginSMU by 1.7Model error range: ±13.8 points

Minnesota

45.0%Win probability45.0%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 453 current-season games with 1,292 games from 1934, 1933, 1932. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 31% for home-field advantage, and 48% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.