Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1932 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

USC

82.5%Win probability82.5%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginUSC by 13.5Model error range: ±14.4 points

Pittsburgh

17.5%Win probability17.5%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 412 current-season games with 1,140 games from 1931, 1930, 1929. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 29% for home-field advantage, and 45% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.