Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.
1919 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Georgia Tech

50.6%Win probability50.6%Cover probability (0.0)
Expected marginGeorgia Tech by 0.3Model error range: ±18.5 points

Auburn

49.4%Win probability49.4%Cover probability (0.0)
How it works This FBS-specific model blends 280 current-season games with 593 games from 1918, 1917, 1916. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 22% for home-field advantage, and 36% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.