Early Modern Era. World War I season; schedules and participation were substantially reduced.
1918 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

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Established

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

G

Great Lakes Navy

57.4%Win probability57.4%Cover probability (0.0)
Expected marginGreat Lakes Navy by 3.7Model error range: ±19.8 points

Georgia Tech

42.6%Win probability42.6%Cover probability (0.0)
How it works This FBS-specific model blends 99 current-season games with 739 games from 1917, 1916, 1915. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 9% for home-field advantage, and 17% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.