Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1917 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Georgia Tech

88.9%Win probability88.9%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginGeorgia Tech by 24.3Model error range: ±19.9 points

Texas A&M

11.1%Win probability11.1%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 227 current-season games with 754 games from 1916, 1915, 1914. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 19% for home-field advantage, and 31% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.