Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1916 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Georgia Tech

55.4%Win probability55.4%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginGeorgia Tech by 2.7Model error range: ±20.1 points

Yale

44.6%Win probability44.6%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 267 current-season games with 704 games from 1915, 1914, 1913. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 21% for home-field advantage, and 35% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.