Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1915 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Colorado State

52.4%Win probability52.4%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginColorado State by 1.2Model error range: ±19.5 points

Georgia Tech

47.6%Win probability47.6%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 245 current-season games with 669 games from 1914, 1913, 1912. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 20% for home-field advantage, and 33% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.