Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1913 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Auburn

80.6%Win probability80.6%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginAuburn by 15.0Model error range: ±17.4 points

Chicago

19.4%Win probability19.4%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 217 current-season games with 606 games from 1912, 1911, 1910. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 18% for home-field advantage, and 30% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.