Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1911 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Minnesota

57.3%Win probability57.3%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginMinnesota by 2.8Model error range: ±15.0 points

Princeton

42.7%Win probability42.7%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 201 current-season games with 599 games from 1910, 1909, 1908. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 17% for home-field advantage, and 29% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.