Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1910 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Pennsylvania

60.8%Win probability60.8%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginPennsylvania by 4.2Model error range: ±15.3 points

Auburn

39.2%Win probability39.2%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 195 current-season games with 615 games from 1909, 1908, 1907. Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 16% for home-field advantage, and 28% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.