Early Modern Era. Early Modern Era; calculated independently but excluded from default cross-season statistics.

1906 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Established

Team A

Team B

Venue

Team A spread

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Vanderbilt

67.5%Win probability67.5%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginVanderbilt by 6.3Model error range: ±13.8 points

Princeton

32.5%Win probability32.5%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific model blends 187 current-season games with 0 games from . Current-season influence is 100% for the rating relationship, 100% for home-field advantage, and 100% for the error range. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95% to reflect early-season uncertainty.