Early Football Era. Early Football Era; retained as archival results and excluded from Scissom calculations.

1872 current-season model

Matchup Predictor

Choose a matchup

Preseason · preliminary

Use sportsbook notation: −7.5 means Team A is favored by 7.5; +7.5 means Team A is the underdog.

Enter the sportsbook game total to calculate over and under probabilities.

Columbia

50.0%Win probability50.0%Cover probability (0.0)

Expected marginColumbia by 0.0Margin error range: ±1.0 pointsExpected total50.0 pointsOver 50.0: 50.0% · Under: 50.0%

Princeton

50.0%Win probability50.0%Cover probability (0.0)

How it works This FBS-specific rating only model uses overall rating plus the matchup between each team’s opponent-adjusted offense and defense. It is trained on 0 current-season games and 0 games from . The total-points model uses those same offensive and defensive values. Rating-only prediction remains the fallback when matchup ratings are unavailable. Before week-eight recalibration, probabilities are limited to 5–95%.